BY Steve Rudman 08:32AM 04/21/2014

Mariners Need Sweep Vs. Wretched Astros

The Mariners open a three-game series against the wretched Houston Astros Monday with an offense that is near historic franchise lows.

Outfielder Dustin Ackley has been the most productive hitter on a Seattle offense that has struggled after sweeping the Angels to open the season. Ackley is hitting .279 with 10 RBIs. / Drew Sellers, Sportspress Northwest

After a seven-game road trip in which they suffered two walk-off losses, were shut out twice, lost three times to a last-place team, left 55 men on base, and came away with only one victory, the Mariners still have reason to hope: Felix Hernandez takes the mound  Monday to open a three-game home series with the worst team in baseball, the Houston Astros.

The last time King Felix pitched, Wednesday in Arlington, the Mariners, as is their irksome habit, sprayed graffiti all over another of his masterpieces by taking a 2-0 lead he handed them entering the eighth and turning it into a 3-2 walk-off loss.

Pitching the best ball of his career (3-0, 1.91 ERA, 0.99 WHIP), Hernandez should breeze Monday against the Astros, who are 3-14 following a 2-0 start and feature an offense that makes the Mariners look regal.

If you have gnashed teeth over the generally lame Seattle offense, which went 0-for-8 with runners in scoring position Sunday against what had been the NL East’s last-place team before the Mariners arrived in South Beach, consider how unfavorably the Astros compare to the Mariners offensively.

Team Rec. Runs Hits HR BA OBP SLG OPS RISP
Mariners 7-11 67 140 15 .225 .283 .362 .645 .240
Astros 5-14 52 119 20 .192 .265 .338 .603 .149

This makes a sweep of the Astros series, especially with Hernandez pitching Monday, almost imperative if the Mariners are going to play .500 or better in April, which is the surest metric as to how the season will unfold.

Seattle’s six-game losing streak is tempered by the fact that three of the team’s best pitchers, injured starters Hisashi Iwakuma, Taijuan Walker and James Paxton, will return by May and not only buttress the rotation, but provide relief for the bullpen, which manager Lloyd McClendon calls “the backbone of the team.”

But what of the bats? Consider the Mariners’ OPS (on-base plus slugging), referenced above. At .645, it’s marginally better than Houston’s .603.

Here’s the alarming thing: The .645 OPS is not only the worst April mark  — so far – that the Mariners have produced in the past decade, it’s better than the April marks of only two editions of the club in history  – 1986 (.622) and 1978 (.624) — that lost 90+ games. The worst April OPS marks for Seattle’s 90+-loss teams since 1995:

Year Manager R/G RISP BA OBP SLG OPS
2014 Lloyd McClendon 3.7 .240 .225 .283 .362 .645
2010 Don Wakamatsu 3.5 .226 .240 .312 .342 .653
2011 Eric Wedge 3.9 .222 .235 .316 .339 .656
2013 Eric Wedge 3.3 .228 .242 .306 .378 .684
2004 Bob Melvin 4.0 .263 .256 .326 .376 .702
2008 John McLaren 4.5 .257 .258 .321 .396 .717

It tells a lot when the addition of career .309 hitter Robinson Cano results in the Mariners having a team batting average 12 points (.225 vs. .237) worse than last year.

KING FELIX: Every time Hernandez pitches, the Mariners pump out a rash of numbers, in fact a full page’s worth, extolling his feats and accomplishments. Of course, numbers aren’t necessary to tell you what the eye can plainly see: He’s among the best of his generation and, without him, the Mariners would be the Houston Astros. But numbers illustrate and illuminate.

Hernandez has pitched long enough – 10 years already! – that his numbers have real meaning. This is a favorite, and has nothing to do with wins, losses or ERA, but underscores what a competitor he is.

Since Hernandez entered the American League in August of 2005 as a 19-year-old phenom, batters have hit .226 off him with runners in scoring position. That .226 splits the difference between Randy Johnson’s .219 and Greg Maddux’s 249. But among pitchers of his generation (since 2005), this is how King Felix ranks:

Pitcher Team GS H R ER BB SO ERA BA
Felix Hernandez Mariners 270 360 528 136 192 444 2.64 .226
Roy Halladay 2 teams 244 331 461 109 107 338 2.39 .232
A.J. Burnett 4 teams 273 389 585 177 208 483 3.49 .237
Justin Verlander Tigers 263 337 500 138 173 397 3.15 .238
Aaron Harang 6 teams 260 363 510 130 170 335 2.70 .241
Dan Haren 5 teams 297 394 555 149 135 396 2.96 .241
Bronson Arroyo 3 teams 294 385 588 174 163 267 3.63 .254
Ervin Santana 3 teams 260 367 554 156 158 317 3.55 .258
John Lackey 2 teams 238 373 540 146 184 316 3.30 .258
Cliff Lee 4 teams 262 380 531 136 88 343 3.08 .261

Also, if Hernandez defeats the Astros Monday night, he will join Jamie Moyer (2001, 2005) as the only pitchers in franchise history to twice start a season 4-0.

FASTEST TO 6.0 GB: The Mariners fell 6.0 games behind Oakland with Sunday’s 3-2 loss at Miami coupled with the Athletics’ 4-1 victory over the Astros. In the last quarter of a century, only two other editions of the Mariners — 1989 and 2012 — were as many as 6.0 GB after 18 games.

AL WEST: Oakland (13-5) completed a three-game sweep of the Astros Sunday and has the best record in the American League despite a defense that has committed 19 errors, most in the league . . . In the Angels’ 2-1 loss to Detroit Sunday, L.A. committed three slapstick errors on one play. Detroit’s Ian Kinsler was on first and began running on a 3-2 pitch to Miguel Cabrera. It was ball four, but catcher Hank Conger threw to second anyway, and the ball sailed into center field. Kinsler took third, and when center fielder Mike Trout’s throw back to the infield went past the second baseman and shortstop, the Detroit runner tried to score. It looked as if the Angels would have a play on Kinsler, but pitcher Hector Santiago picked up the ball and threw wildly to the plate. Kinsler scored and Cabrera went to second.

EX-MARINERS: In three starts for the Yankees, RHP Michael Pineda, who went to New York in the Jesus Montero-Hector Noesi trade, is 2-1 with a 1.00 ERA and 1.09 WHIP . . . Aaron Harang, with Seattle in 2013, held the Mets hitless through seven innings in his last start before departing after 121 pitches. That marked the second time in Harang’s career that he was removed after starting the game with at least six no-hit innings. He held the Dodgers hitless through six July 9, 2011, while pitching for the Padres.

FURTHER REVIEW: When Giancarlo Stanton hit that walk-off grand slam Friday night against Seattle reliever Yoervis Medina, he became one of just two players in history with two walk-off slams before his 25th birthday. The other was Jimmy Presley, who had two for the Mariners in 1986 . . . Henderson Alvarez threw a two-hit, complete-game shutout over the Mariners Saturday night despite the fact that Seattle had eight left-handers in the lineup to contest the Venezuelan right-hander. Alvarez also generated more offense than the entire Seattle lineup, driving in a run in the sixth-inning with a broken-bat single.

NEXT: After the Astros series, the Mariners are off Thursday, then host the Texas Rangers for three . . . Hernandez (3-0, 1.91) will throw Monday opposite LHP Dallas Keuchel (1-1, 3.50). Hernandez is 2-1, 2.00 ERA in three career starts spanning 18 innings against the Astros. Keuchel is 0-2, 2.40 in two career starts against the Mariners.


YourThoughts

  • Will

    “Hernandez should breeze Monday against the Astros” … There are no “should breeze” when it comes to the M’s. Perhaps tho, if their woefulness continues, they should be boycotted, scrapped or traded for “players and management to be named later”.

  • Al Wasser

    Mariners may have read the headline and misinterpreted which way the broom needed to sweep.