BY Steve Rudman 04:12PM 08/04/2016

Small sample, but Edwin Diaz making big splash

Rookie Edwin Diaz, who inherited the role of Seattle’s closer Tuesday, has gotten off to an historic start with the Mariners, who summoned him from AA Jackson in June.

Edwin Diaz has risen fast for the Mariners. / Alan Chitlik, Sportspress Northwest

After Edwin Diaz struck out three Boston Red Sox hitters in the ninth inning Tuesday night at Safeco Field to clinch a 5-4 Seattle victory and secure his first career save, the Elias Sports Bureau generated a remarkable factoid about the 22-year-old Mariners rookie, who joined the club June 4 as a call-up from the AA Jackson Generals.

The first of those three strikeouts, Elias noted, marked the 50th for Diaz in his first 25.1 major league innings, making him the fastest pitcher to record 50 career strikeouts among all pitchers to make their MLB debut – since 1893, or three years before Cy Young began his career.

Mull that over: Diaz is the fastest pitcher in 123 major league seasons to 50 strikeouts.

Nolan Ryan, the all-time leader in strikeouts among righthanders (5,714), didn’t reach 50 K’s until he had pitched 38.1 innings. Randy Johnson, the all-time leader among lefties (4,875), as well as the career leader in strikeouts per nine  innings (10.60), didn’t notch his 50th until he’d thrown 55.2 innings.

A former minor league starter converted into a reliever May 10, Diaz was put in a set-up role after he joined the Mariners. This week, he made the transition to closer when Steve Cishek — placed on the 15-day DL Thursday with a labrum tear in his left hip — had consecutive implosions, first coughing up a three-run ninth-inning lead Sunday at Chicago in what became a 7-6 loss, then yielding the game-losing homer in a 3-1 setback to Boston Monday.

It’s way premature to start making any comparisons to Ryan or Johnson, both Hall of Famers. But so far, the Diaz storyline couldn’t be more dramatic.

Diaz has held opponents scoreless in 22 of 26 appearances, struck out a batter in 23 and fanned two or more in 18. Between June 28-July 6, Diaz recorded 11 consecutive outs via strikeout, breaking the franchise record of 10 by Johnson (July 18-24, 1997).

In his past 10 innings since July 10, Diaz has rung up 21 batters, placing him at the top of this list: highest strikeout percentage by rookies, age 25 or younger, with fewer than 40 appearances and a minimum of 25 innings pitched:

Year Pitcher Team Age IP BF SO K Pct.
2016 Edwin Diaz Mariners 22 27.0 118 53 44.9
2006 Pat Neshek Twins 25 37.0 138 53 38.4
2010 Kenley Jansen Dodgers 22 27.0 109 41 37.6
2010 Stephen Strasburg Nationals 21 68.0 274 92 33.6
1998 Kerry Wood Cubs 21 166.2 699 233 33.3
2009 Neftali Feliz Rangers 21 31.0 117 39 33.3
2015 Mychal Givens Orioles 22 30.0 117 39 32.5
2015 Enrique Burgos D-Backs 24 27.0 121 39 32.2
2013 Chris Withrow Dodgers 24 34.2 134 43 32.1
1984 Dwight Gooden Mets 19 218.0 135 34 25.2

A native of Naguabo, Puerto Rico, Diaz came to the Mariners in the third round of the 2012 amateur draft. He began his ascent through the organization with the Arizona Mariners (Arizona League) in 2012 and then worked his way up through Pulaski (Appalachian League, 2013), A Clinton (Midwest League, 2014) and A Bakersfield (California League, 2015) before his promotion to AA Jackson.

What makes the major league emergence of Diaz so striking is that in 89 minor league games, he posted a record of 23-24 with a 3.57 ERA, during which he registered a 25.9 strikeout percentage (409 strikeouts, 1,579 batters faced). But with his triple-digit fastball and sweeping slider, Diaz has a 44.9 K% and 2.00 ERA with Seattle.

Diaz is also averaging 17.67 strikeouts per nine innings, tied for the highest mark in history for a reliever, rookie or not (minimum 25 innings). The top five:

Year Reliever Team SO/9 Skinny
2014 Aroldis Chapman Cincinnati 17.67 42.4 strikeout pct. in 7 seasons
2016 Edwin Diaz Seattle 17.67 Five K’s in 2.2 IP June 14 at Tampa
2015 Carter Capps Miami 16.84 Traded by Seattle for Logan Morrison
2012 Craig Kimbrel Atlanta 16.66 18 saves this season for Red Sox
2010 Kenley Jansen LA Dodgers 16.1 31 saves for the Dodgers this season

It’s impossible to tell how long Diaz can keep this roll going. But if the nine players listed with Diaz on the first chart above are any indication, Diaz has a shot to be a solid contributor – at minimum – for a long time.

Currently with Houston, Neshek is 29-19 with a 2.88 ERA over his 10 years in the majors. An All-Star this year, Jansen has a 38.9 strikeout percentage and 173 saves over his seven-year career. Feliz, originally with Texas and now with Pittsburgh, has 98 career saves and one All-Star appearance. Givens is 8-1, 3.59 this year with Baltimore.

Diaz has produced quite a splash in his 26 big league games, particularly given his ability to top 100 mph on the radar gun. While he’s dominant right now, it’s impossible to tell if he can maintain once scouting catches up with him.

He inherited a high-pressure job at 22 with extremely limited experience. The test will come when he inevitably has his confidence blown up, as Cishek just did.


YourThoughts

  • jafabian

    All pitchers want to start. That being said can the M’s afford to keep Diaz in the bullpen? And can he remain a closer with only a couple pitches in his repertoire? I’m not sure if making him closer at age 22 in his first season is good for his development. Tom Wilhemsen was made closer in his first full season and he seemingly flamed out in the middle of his second season as closer. I’m expecting Cishek to return to being closer at some point or possibly Storen to get a shot at being a closer again. It also might be interesting to see Diaz bring his 100 MPH heat to the rotation.

  • Angel Nanton

    Oh dude, what a buzz kill!! Ok, I understand, we’re all Mariner fans here, we expect failure. But from my vantage point, Servais made the move to Diaz about 2 days too late. To say that scouting will catch up with Diaz doesn’t serve Marino Rivera well. Did MLB ever catch up to him? Boston, one of the best fastball hitting clubs in the MLB, couldn’t catch up to him. Rudman, you are a well seasoned, expecting the not almost best, (I’m going easy here), Sonics loosing, another out of the playoffs Seattle Mariner’s ending season is reasonable, based on the not so distant past. For me, I’m not giving up the ship, just yet…… Although the loss to the Cubs Sunday almost had me. It had me.

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