BY Steve Rudman 06:30AM 01/02/2018

Impressive Seahawks streak comes to an end

The Seahawks (9-7) missed the playoffs for the first time since 2011 and face a long offseason in which the fates of several core players will be decided.

Pete Carroll faces a challenging offseason. / Drew Sellers, Sportspress Northwest

When the Seahawks were denied the NFL playoffs Sunday, their ouster ended one of the more remarkable runs in modern NFL history: five consecutive years with at least one playoff victory, coinciding with QB Russell Wilson’s tenure as the team’s starting quarterback. Now that Seattle won’t be extending its streak to six, the question is, what happens next — a reload or a remake?

One possible clue might be the short-term fate of the other six franchises that had playoff wins in five or more consecutive seasons following the end of their streaks. Mostly, it wasn’t pretty,  with New England serving as a notable exception.

The Patriots had playoff wins in every season from 2003 through 2007 before failing to qualify for postseason play in 2008 despite an 11-5 record. Since then, New England has won nine AFC East titles and failed to win a playoff game after only two seasons (2009, 2010).

Since 2011, the Patriots have playoff wins every year and have an excellent chance to do so again, given the home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs.

Of the five franchises apart from Seattle that faced the end of a long playoff winning streak, only one won a Super Bowl and none became annual fixtures in the playoffs again until the Green Bay Packers made a successful transformation from Brett Favre to Aaron Rodgers.

These are the teams that won playoff games in five or more consecutive seasons and what happened next:

Years Team No. What happened next
1991-96 Cowboys 6 Did not win another playoff game until 2009 season
2011-16 Patriots 6 Will have home advantage throughout ’17 playoffs
1973-77 Raiders 5 No playoffs 1978-79, won Super Bowl in 1980
1993-97 Packers 5 Won two playoff games over next nine years
2000-04 Eagles 5 One playoff appearance in past seven years
2003-07 Patriots 5 Won nine AFC East titles and two Super Bowls
2008-12 Ravens 5 One playoff appearance in last five years
2012-16 Seahawks 5 Sorting through injuries, possible retirements

Reason for 12s to fret: The new NFC West champion Los Angeles Rams have the division’s youngest roster (average age 25.4 years), including 23-year-old RB stud Todd Gurley. San Francisco (26.2) has the division’s second-youngest roster and ended the season with a five-game winning streak behind new QB Jimmy Garappolo.

The 10 players on Seattle’s roster who have appeared in a Pro Bowl, including CB Richard Sherman and SS Kam Chancellor, both of whom ended the season on injured reserve, average 29.4 years.

Another reason for 12s to fret: The 49ers beat the Rams, 34–13, Sunday to conclude an undefeated December. Garappolo is 7–0 as a starter (two wins while with Patriots) and his 5–0 mark in December is remarkable: None among Joe Montana, Warren Moon, John Elway and Brett Favre, all Hall of Famers, won five starts in a month. Aaron Rodgers hasn’t done it, either.

Flag fest

The 2017 Seahawks led the NFL with 148 penalties, 1,342 penalty yards, and 9.25 penalties per game, and further topped the NFC with 47 pre-snap penalties. A little perspective: Seattle had nearly twice as many penalty yards as Carolina (682) and more than twice as many pre-snap penalties as Tennessee (22).

“We’ve been (worst) in penalties before, when we won world championships,” said Pete Carroll after Sunday’s loss. “But this season, with the margin of error we had, we weren’t able to overcome that stuff. It’s just an area of our football that has to change. I got to get that done. I got to get that changed.”

Breaking down the dubiousness: Seattle ranked T1 (with Philadelphia) in defensive offside, T1 (with the New York Jets) in illegal use of hands, T2 in defensive pass interference, T3 in offensive pass interference and No. 4 in false starts.

Not only did RT Germain Ifedi lead all NFL players with 20 penalties (16 accepted), DE Michael Bennett finished in a tie for third with 12 (offside 10 times). Ifedi’s breakdown: nine false starts, eight holding, two unnecessary roughness, one taunting. Ifedi’s 16 flags are tied for the most by a player in the Carroll era. CB Brandon Browner also had 16 in 2011.

From Oct. 22 through Nov. 20, the Seahawks had 100 or more penalty yards in five consecutive games, the longest streak in the Super Bowl era. In that time, only two other teams (2010 Raiders, 2015 Ravens) had five such games. The Seahawks finished with 100+ penalty yards seven times, an NFL record.

Blair Walsh project

Among the players not expected back in 2018 is kicker Blair Walsh, whose 48-yard miss in the final minute Sunday prevented Seattle from beating Arizona and finishing 2017 with 10 wins for a sixth consecutive year.

No NFL kicker missed more field goal attempts in 2017 than Walsh, although two missed as many. Walsh’s whiff Sunday was his eighth (21-for-29), a total matched in the NFC by Arizona’s Phil Dawson (32 for 40) and in the AFC by Denver’s Brandon McManus (24 for 32). It figures: Dawson kicked the winning field goal Sunday against the Seahawks.

Over the past 25 years, only two other Seattle kickers missed as many as eight field goals in a season (<40=number of missed field goals under 40 yards):

Year Kicker Misses <40 Skinny
2001 Rian Lindell 11 2 Whiffed from 28 yards vs. Dolphins
2003 Josh Brown 8 1 6 misses from 45 or more yards
2017 Blair Walsh 8 3 3 misses came vs. Redskins
2002 Rian Lindell 7 2 3 misses from 50 or more yards
2005 Josh Brown 7 1 3 misses from 50 or more yards
1997 Todd Petersen 6 2 Had 33-yard miss vs. Saints
1999 Todd Peterson 6 3 Had 30-yard miss at Pittsburgh
2006 Josh Brown 6 2 Had 30-yard miss vs. Arizona
2007 Josh Brown 6 0 2 misses from beyond 50 yards
2014 Steven Hauschka 6 0 All 6 misses from 45-plus yards

Walsh and Peterson (1999) are the only kickers on this list to miss three in a season attempted from fewer than 40 yards.

Meanwhile, former Seattle kicker Steven Hauschka went 29-for-33 for playoff-bounxs Buffalo this season and led the NFL with seven makes from 50+ yards. Walsh’s longest: 49.

 


YourThoughts

  • Kevin Lynch

    Great wrap up Steve. Thanks to you and Art for excellent reporting again this year.

    • DB

      Please allow me to add my thanks to Kevin’s. I hope readers recognize how fortunate we are to have you guys in our city.

      • art thiel

        To you as well, CB, much appreciation. And please keep in mind the voluntary donation box on the home page. :)

    • art thiel

      Thanks, Kevin. Glad to hear it’s working for you. Please tell your friends.

  • Husky73

    Penalties correlate to discipline. The Seahawks were a very undisciplined team this year– on the field, on the sidelines (again) and off the field. Carroll allowed it, and Carroll has to fix it.

    • Ron

      Fixing Ifedi would go a long way. Also, have Russell stop trying to draw the defense offsides with hard counts. It NEVER works, and only makes his own teammates jump.

      • art thiel

        It does work, actually. The most famous one was late in the 4Q of the NFC Championship when Wilson drew off a 49er on a 4th and 7 pass play. The free play became a 35-yard TD to Kearse.

        • Ron

          Brilliant, it worked once… four years ago.

    • art thiel

      He said as much Tuesday. He seemed genuinely upset and embarrassed. The taunts and unsportsmanlike fouls need to be curbed via public sanction, like sitting out a half or a game.